El Nino fades so forecasters expect busier hurricane season

[bluemingidiot]

www.chron.com/news/science/article/El-Nino-fades-so-forecasters-expect-busier-14290365.php#item-85307-tbla-2

[Bear Foot Farm]

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center said Thursday the Atlantic season looks more active than normal as peak hurricane season begins. Forecasters now expect 10 to 17 named storms, with five to nine hurricanes and two to four major ones.

Historically late August and most of September are the most active times, so their prediction is no surprise. I think they will be fooled though.

[bluemingidiot]

The annual number of hurricanes that make landfall in the U.S. since 1900 is slightly declining, not increasing. The same is true for major hurricanes (category three and above) hitting the U.S. We see the same thing if we look at world data for total hurricane energy in the satellite era, 1980-2022. In fact, 2022 was the second lowest recorded year.

[bluemingidiot]

During the Atlantic hurricane season, 20 storms formed, seven of which reached hurricane strength,