Scientists expect 11 to 17 named storms in 2017

[bluemingidiot]

Scientists at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration are forecasting "an above normal" hurricane season with as many as 11 to 17 named storms this year. Of those, 5 to 9 could become hurricanes. Four of these may become major hurricanes with sustained winds of at least 111 mph.

But this includes the Caribbean, Central America and Mexico, so if it is above normal, it may or may not be above normal for the East and Gulf coasts.  Lots of storm hype ahead in weather forecasts in areas that are mostly going to be totally unaffected by storms that mostly are not going to achieve hurricane strength.

Weathercasters will try to instill fear to increase viewers sort of like global warming predictions are used to increase political and social control.

[bluemingidiot]

On average, 10.1 named storms occur each season, with an average of 5.9 becoming hurricanes and 2.5 becoming major hurricanes (Category 3 or greater).

[countrymom22]

Don't know how many storms we'll have, but I can tell you that this weather is extremely strange I our area. Just a few miles north of us, they had golf ball size hail a few days ago, and it is constantly raining and gloomy here these days. Not forecasted to get out of the 50's for the next 2 days, and here it is June already!

Doesn't matter to me. After Super Storm Sandy, I'm always ready for anything~! Lesson learned!

[bluemingidiot]

NOAA now raising tropical storm and hurricane forecast for 2017

The agency now says there is a 60 percent chance of an above-normal season, up from NOAA's May prediction of 45 percent, and 14-19 named storms, raised from the May forecast range of 11-17, and a slight increase of two to five major hurricanes.

There have already been six named tropical storms in the Atlantic in the first nine weeks of this year's season, double the number that typically form by this time in an average year.

We still have almost 2/3s of the hurricane season left, including the most active part.  When the prediction was 11 to 17 named storms and there have already been six, how many tax dollars do you want to pay someone to tell you there might be more hurricanes than they thought?  The only prediction with hurricanes that means anything is where the may strike.  We seldom know that more than 48 hours before the hurricane makes landfall.

[Deleted]

Over the years I've learned to temper the forecasts with my own bit of foresight from experiences. I like to watch the TV broadcast though, it's like you said; nothing really matters except where and when. NOAA tracking is still the best for me, since I'm a procrastinator at heart I do like to know when to begin thinking about landfall.

[themotherhen]

I prefer to call them weather guessers. This latest issue tells us that we don't know much about weather.